Jake’s Takes: College Football Picks Week 10

Jakes-Takes

Week 10 of the college football season is upon us this Saturday and five teams, that would be half of the Big 12, still has a chance at winning the conference regular season title. 

How fantastic will the last five weeks of the season be? 

Baylor and Texas are 4-0, OU and Texas Tech are 4-1 and then OSU is 3-1. All with a chance to take home the trophy. 

The Cowboys and Red Raiders have a big game this Saturday in Lubbock. On Thursday of next week, Oklahoma and Baylor clash in Waco, so four of the five teams have huge games in the next two weeks that will have big conference title implications going into the last 3 games.

Baylor and Oklahoma are both off this week, so both teams get extra time to prepare for each other.

Last Week: 4-1 (my upset pick of TT over OU didn’t pan out)

Overall: 40-12

KU @ Texas: Who is the real KU team? The one that played Oklahoma to the very end with a chance to win, or the team that got pummeled by Baylor. Baylor has pummeled a lot of teams so maybe it was more Baylor then KU. The Jayhawks will still be working in two quarterbacks in Heaps and Cozart. Look for Cozart to throw it a few more times. Why not? You took his red-shirt, lets see what he can do. The Texas defense has figured it out. After two rough games vs BYU and Ole Miss, they have played very well. Texas beat TCU last week 30-7, TCU doesn’t have an offense, KU doesn’t have an offense so I expect the score to be very similar. Texas 35-14

Iowa State @ K-State: Was the 4th quarter the “Happy learned how to Putt” moment for the Wildcats? That was a reference to Happy Gilmore finally figuring out how to putt and thus beating Shooter McGavin. Has K-State figured things out? They were rolling on all cylinders in that 4th quarter. 35-12 win over WVU was an impressive win to me. Sams and Waters threw the ball very well and the defense was all over the place. The two biggest reasons for KSU surge, Lockett and Thompson. Lockett is so smooth, all you young receivers out there, watch Tyler Lockett, he does everything right. Having those two weapons to throw to were a huge boost vs WVU. Iowa State has had troubles all year long stopping the run so expect a lot of Hubert and Sams. Iowa State also doesn’t have an explosive offense, Richardson likely will get the start but he is not fully healthy. These two teams always play close games but I don’t think this one will be. K-State 38-21

West Virginia @ TCU: Both teams have bad offenses, but TCU has a much, much better defense. Sims and Smith are the only highlights for WVU, and the TCU offense is less explosive then the WVU, so that tells you about their offense. Both quarterbacks are struggling, Trickett didn’t look good against KSU and Boykin/Pachall didn’t look good against Texas. TCU wins the game just for the fact its at home and their defense has been solid.  TCU 21-10

OSU @ Texas Tech: The game of the week in the Big 12. Oklahoma State is riding the momentum of three straight wins and pummeling Iowa State on the road. Texas Tech is coming off their first loss of the season at the hands of Oklahoma. This is a great match-up. Both offenses are explosive and have big time play makers. Both defense are better then anticipated. I can see both teams winning this game. Its a huge boost to be back in Lubbock for the Red Raiders. The big news is OSU running the football, Desmond Roland running it for 216 yards vs ISU, where did that come from? Texas Tech has a good run defense, that will be a fun match-up. The vegas line in the game is TT by 1 so its virtually a pick em game. I pick TT to get the win at home. TT 31-30

 

Two bonus picks for the two top 15 Division II games:

Washburn @ Northwst Missouri State: Call me a homer if you want but the Ichabods are due against the Bearcats. The last win for Washburn over NWMS was 2005, I was a sophomore WR. The Bods are healthy, playing great defense and I think experienced enough to go to Maryville and get the win. The game will be won in the trenches, NWMS is always good on the OL and the DL, Washburn has to play physical. The other key will be in the giveaway/takeaway statistic. NWMS doesn’t make mistakes, to beat them you have to play sound football.  FG kicker Justin Linn will be the difference, call it nostalgia, but Washburn wins with the same score as we did in 2005. Washburn 31-28

Emporia State @ Missouri Western: Emporia State’s offense is a juggernaut. They can put up points like Baylor does, well almost like Baylor does, either way their offense is good. The passing attack with Wilson to Davis/Willis has been dominate all year. The defense I think is better then what people think. Missouri Western is always solid up front and they have a great running back in Spencer. The Griffons don’t have the same horses as they did last year when they won the conference. The Emporia State defense is the key, I don’t think Western can hold Emporia’s offense below 30 points. So if the Hornet defense shows up and I think they will, they get the win. Hornets 34-31