Jake’s Takes: College Football Picks Week 12

Jakes-Takes

We are coming down to the final few weeks of the Big 12 season and three teams remain in contention for the wide open Big 12 regular season title.  After Saturdays games, Baylor will have three games left, ISU, KU, KSU, OU, OSU, Texas have two games left, and TCU, TT and WVU have just one game left on the year. 

The Big 12 bowl picture is also starting to take shape. The Big 12 has seven bowl game tie ins and right now five are bowl eligible with Kansas State just one game away. I will assume the Wildcats will get that win, that makes six teams bowling for sure in 2013.  The question is will the Big 12 fill in that seventh spot. 

West Virginia is 4-6 and needs two wins in their next two games, they can do it and its probably better then a 50-50  chance they do get to 6-6. They have Kansas this Saturday in Lawrence and Iowa State in Morgantown in two weeks. The Jayhawks are bad and the Mountaineers  play so much better at home then on the road.  So I think they do get to 6-6.

TCU is 4-6 and needs to wins, they face, Kansas State this Saturday and Baylor in two weeks. Unless a miracle happens I am pretty sure the Frogs are staying home this bowling season. 

On to the games this week.

Last week’s record 4-1

Overall record : 47-14

WVU @ KU: The Jayhawks have two chances remaining in 2013 to win a Big 12 game. This might be their best shot. WVU is coming off a tough overtime loss at home to Texas, but the Mountaineers are still fighting for a bowl bid. The Jayhawks offense has done nothing the last three games. Six points, 13 and 14 points scored  in their last three games. Can the Jayhawks move the ball on the WVU defense? The WVU defense hasn’t been as good on the road, they have given up 73 to Baylor,  35 to Kansas State,  and 27 to TCU, throw in the 37 to TT in a loss and 47 to Texas at home, this defense is getting gashed. If KU can’t score against this defense then they are worse then I thought. I think KU scores in this one, but I think WVU offense behind Sims and Smith move the ball and they outscore the Jayhawks.  WVU 31-28

ISU @ OU: Iowa State is struggling and gave a great effort against TCU but fell on the losing side of things 21-17 last week. The Cyclones are a beat up group and playing the Sooners in Norman is not the remedy to get better. This one shouldn’t be much of a game. The Sooners need a good rebound game after the tough loss against Baylor. Sooners get that win. OU 41-21

TCU @ KSU: The Wildcats have been very impressive during their three game winning streak. Offensively they are running it with ease and not making mistakes in the passing game. The last two games the Cats have turned it over just once. The defense has been terrific, it helps the opponents are ISU and WVU, but in the past KSU has had trouble against Texas Tech but they handled that offense last Saturday. The TCU defense is very good, they allow just 22 points per game and allowed just 17 to ISU on the road last week. The TCU offesne is bad, KSU should be able to slow down the Frogs offense. If KSU takes care of the football the Cats get the win but its always a tough game against a Gary Patterson team. KSU 28-17

OSU @ Texas : This is the game of the week in the Big 12. If the Pokes go into Austin and get the win, then it sets up the game of the year next week in Stillwater against Baylor. Texas lost its best running back, Johnathan Gray, to an achilles injury, and he is their explosive take it to the house back. This is a big loss. Oklahoma State has been mighty impressive since their loss to West Virginia. Their offense has a new found running game with Desmond Roland. He has been a huge surprise and a good one if you are a Poke fan. WR Josh Stewart is a game time decision and would make this pick a little easier if he was able to go. Texas gave up 40 points to WVU doesn’t give Texas fans a lot of confidence in their defense going into this one against OSU’s offense. Texas is too beat up and OSU is rolling. The Longhorns will have their first loss in Big 12 play after Saturday. OSU 35-24

TT @ Baylor: The Bears just keep rolling along. The Bears are now 5th in the BCS Standings. Never thought I would say that in my lifetime. Good news for the Bears is Art Briles got a contract extension and will be in Waco for 10 more years.  The Bears are without Tevin Reese, their speedster wide receiver. He will be missed. He is a huge weapon and will be back for whatever bowl game they play in. The Bears defense is what has been impressive. They are number 1 in scoring defense, yes Baylor, number 1 in scoring defense, they give up just 15 points per game. The Red Raiders have fallen of their horse, they have lost three in a row after starting 7-0, their defense can’t stop the run anymore and their offense has slowed down. That is not a good combo when you face the Bears. The Red Raiders are beat up and whoever runs the ball for Baylor will put up big numbers. Baylor 50-24

 

Bonus Game:

Last week 1-1

Bonus Game record: 2-2

Washburn @ Emporia State:  Turnpike Tussle edition number 110. The series is 52-51-6 in Emporia’s favor. Playoff implications are at stake. Can Washburn’s defense rebound from two poor performances and slow down a ESU offense that is one of the best in the nation. It comes down to tackling. ESU loves the short route and to put their skill players in open space to get yards after the catch. Emporia needs to play the way they have all year, sound defense, stop the run and don’t turn it over. They are the best at not making the mistake, they have just eight turnovers all year. If Washburn can get off the field on 3rd down I think they get the win, if they can’t Emporia will be going to the playoffs for the first time under Head Coach Garin Higgins. I don’t recall a turnpike tussle in recent history that has more on the line then this game. Should be a dandy. I am a former Washburn football player. This is a rivalry game. Who do you think I am taking. Washburn 31-30