Two weeks from now we’ll know who the first-round class is for the 2019 NFL draft, and in honor of the number two it’s time for my mock draft 2.0, featuring two rounds of picks.
Several picks from my first mock remain the same, but there are a few big shakeups as well. This projection features two rounds, plus I’ve included additional scenarios for every first-round pick as alternatives to my selections. That includes potential trades, other picks based on who’s available, etc. (Note that no trades are made in the mock draft itself). It’s also important to note the prospect ranking I followed most closely is the 580 Sports Talk composite big board, but most picks are based on a mixture of need plus value.
Let’s get to the draft:
The Cardinals have stayed fairly quiet about whether or not they’re considering offers for current starting quarterback Josh Rosen, but this pick makes too much sense. Murray could spark a new-look Arizona offense while also giving people a reason to care about the Cardinals.
Other potential scenario: Nick Bosa, EDGE, Ohio State
Bosa is widely regarded as the best overall prospect in this draft, and he provides instant help at a major need for San Francisco (even after it acquired Dee Ford in a trade with Kansas City).
Other potential scenarios: Josh Allen, EDGE, Kentucky; Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama; trade back in first round to stockpile talent
The next highest player on the board, Williams would line up next to Leonard Williams to form a terrifying defensive line. The Jets already improved their defense by signing C.J. Mosley, so this could propel them into the top tier of front sevens in the game (if they’re not already there).
Other potential scenarios: Josh Allen, EDGE, Kentucky; Jawaan Taylor, OT, Florida; trade back to middle of first round for EDGE
The Raiders fill their biggest need with the No. 2 EDGE in the class. Allen gives Oakland a legitimate threat on the outside one year after the Raiders had 13 total sacks.
Other potential scenarios: Greedy Williams, CB, LSU; trade up for Nick Bosa
Admittedly, this is one of (if not the) boldest picks in this mock draft. Williams has been falling down boards recently, but he’s got massive upside as a ballhawk on the outside. Tampa’s cornerback group is rough, so Williams would have an instant impact.
Other potential scenarios: Devin White, LB, LSU; Montez Sweat, EDGE, Mississippi State; Brian Burns, EDGE, Florida State
Haskins has been sliding down boards rapidly as of late, which seems curious but given the Giants’ infatuation with the corpse of Eli Manning makes this less of a certainty than it seemed in the recent past. But New York desperately needs a quarterback of the future, and Haskins is the best option.
Other potential scenarios: Montez Sweat, EDGE, Mississippi State; Brian Burns, EDGE, Florida State; Devin White, LB, LSU
If the Giants pass on Haskins, that’s an easy pick for the Jaguars. In this scenario, though, Taylor instantly shores up a porous offensive line and gives current quarterback Nick Foles a little protection.
Other potential scenarios: Trade down and take a wide receiver; TJ Hockenson, TE, Iowa
Sweat potentially parlayed a fantastic combine into a top-10 pick, and partnered with Trey Flowers he could take a black hole of production on the edge and turn it into a net positive for the Lions this year.
Other potential scenarios: Brian Burns, EDGE, Florida State; Clelin Ferrell, EDGE, Clemson; TJ Hockenson, TE, Iowa
EDGE might be a bigger need for the Bills (which is why they were given Clelin Ferrell in mock draft 1.0), but Oliver is both a great value and a great replacement for Kyle Williams. He might not be an Aaron Donald clone as an undersized defensive tackle, but Oliver will be a big-time disruptor against NFL offensive lines.
I’ve said before that I don’t love Lock as a prospect, but this fit makes a lot of sense. He’s tall so he fits John Elway’s needs and reportedly the Broncos wouldn’t be interested in Josh Rosen even though they desperately need a quarterback.
Other potential scenarios: TJ Hockenson, TE, Iowa; Devin White, LB, LSU
Whether Williams plays tackle or guard in the NFL, he’ll be a boost for the Bengals offensive line. Cincinnati was in the bottom half of the league in both pass and run blocking last year per Football Outsiders, so it needs to address the line right away.
Other potential scenarios: Devin White, LB, LSU
He’s the best player on the board and at a major need for the Packers. Prior to free agency this would have been an obvious situation for an EDGE, but Hockenson’s a complete tight end who not only gives Aaron Rodgers another weapon but also is a great blocker.
Other potential scenarios: Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma (likely trade down); Brian Burns, EDGE, Florida State
The Dolphins need help everywhere, so they go with the best available player at a premier position. Clelin Ferrell had was in this spot right up until press time, but with how much hype Burns has gotten recently he jumped up into this spot (the Dolphins would likely be happy with either).
Other potential scenarios: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE, Clemson; Devin White, LB, LSU; Devin Bush, LB, Michigan
Back to back EDGE players off the board as the Falcons look for some consistency in their pass rush. With the jury still out on Vic Beasley, Atlanta needs to add someone who can perform at a high level regularly when it comes to getting after the passer.
Other potential scenarios: Byron Murphy, CB, Washington; Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma
Seems hard to believe White would fall this far, but the Redskins would love if this happened. Arguably the best linebacker in the class, who would add speed and tenacity to a defense that needs it.
Other potential scenarios: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss; Byron Murphy, CB, Washington; trade this pick in package to acquire Josh Rosen
There are a lot of questions about Gary’s future in the NFL and whether or not his production can live up to his hype. It’s a risk worth taking for Carolina, which needs help on the edge. Gary will fit with the Panthers’ 4-3 base defense.
Other potential scenarios: trade back and take EDGE later; D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss; Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
Another cornerback is off the board with the Giants filling one of their several needs on the defensive side of the ball. Murphy, whose biggest strength is making plays on the ball, has an argument for being the best corner in this draft class.
Other potential scenarios: Devin Bush, LB, Michigan; Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia
Minnesota needs to fix its interior line play immediately, and with Ford expected to be able to play guard in the NFL he’s an easy choice. Ford is a big, athletic body who can replace one of several turnstiles in the current Vikings offensive line.
Other potential scenarios: Garrett Bradbury, C, North Carolina State; Chris Lindstrom, OG, Boston College
Marcus Mariota needs weapons, and the pairing of Corey Davis and Adam Humphries at wide receiver doesn’t cut it at this point in time (no disrespect for tight end Delanie Walker, but he’s coming off a major injury). There are justified questions about Metcalf’s agility, but his speed and strength is impressive.
Other potential scenarios: AJ Brown, WR, Ole Miss; N’Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State; Chris Lindstrom, OG, Boston College
This pick just makes too much sense. It’s reasonable to worry about Bush’s size, but he’s a smart player with great athleticism and strength for his size that will be able to play right away.
Other potential scenarios: Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia; AJ Brown, WR, Ole Miss
Realistically, I think it’s far more likely that Seattle trades down to acquire a few more picks later (it only has four in the whole draft). The Seahawks need some more pass-catching options for Russell Wilson, but re-strengthening a depleted secondary is also important.
Other potential scenarios: AJ Brown, WR, Ole Miss; N’Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State; Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
The second of two Ole Miss receivers to go in the first round, Brown is quick and runs excellent routes, and is generally a talented enough player to finally fill a long-standing need for Baltimore. The Ravens need to get some help for Lamar Jackson here.
Other potential scenarios: N’Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State
Dillard’s college production was excellent, and even though his run blocking needs some work he should be a Day 1 starter at a tackle spot due to his pass-blocking ability. Great fit for Houston.
Other potential scenarios: Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State
New Oakland general manager Mike Mayock would be smart to add more weapons for Derek Carr, who lost Jared Cook to free agency this offseason. Fant is a spectacular athlete as a tight end and will provide a big target who can line up anywhere.
Other potential scenarios: trade with a team trying to get back into the first round; Rock Ya-Sin, CB, Temple
Philadelphia can shore up its secondary by adding Adderley, a smart player who adds good ball skills at safety while also being able to move to corner if needed after playing it some in college.
Other potential scenarios: Rock Ya-Sin, CB, Temple; Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama
Harry was extremely fun to watch at Arizona State, and he adds a big target for Andrew Luck. The Colts had a ton of cap space this offseason and only added Devin Funchess in terms of pass catchers. Adding Harry would rectify that.
Other potential scenarios: Christian Wilkins, DL, Clemson; Jeffery Simmons, DL, Clemson
Ya-Sin only has one year of tape at the FBS level, but his level of play in that one year was elite. He’s fast, strong and a great leader, making him a great candidate for a cornerstone of a rebuilt Oakland defense.
Other potential scenarios: trade with a team trying to get back into the first round; Jaylon Ferguson, EDGE, Louisiana Tech
Wilkins is the No. 10 player on the composite big board, which makes a slide to 28 unlikely but possible, which would be a dream for the Chargers. They already have a good pass rush, but some interior help can take this team to the next level.
Other potential scenarios: Jeffery Simmons, DL, Mississippi State; Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State; Chris Lindstrom, OG, Boston College
The Chiefs’ defense will take top-end talent wherever it can get it, and with this pick in comes in the form of a safety with a penchant for making plays on the ball. Adding Thompson to a safety corps already featuring Tyrann Mathieu would be a pleasant 180 from last year’s safety group for Kansas City that was lackluster (to be generous).
Other potential scenarios: Amani Oruwariye, CB, Penn State; Jaylon Ferguson, EDGE, Louisiana Tech
Green Bay is shoring up its offense with its two first round picks, this time adding reinforcements to a terrible interior offensive line from a year ago. Justin McCray is not a starting-caliber right guard, and while free-agent acquisition Billy Turner can fill in, Lindstrom would immediately start and help give Aaron Rodgers some much-needed inside protection.
Other potential scenarios: Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State; Johnathan Abram, S, Mississippi State; Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma
Bradbury is the top-ranked interior lineman on the composite big board and would plug in the biggest hole along the Rams’ offensive line. Protecting Jared Goff will be the key to keeping the Rams atop the NFC for years to come.
Other potential scenarios: Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State; Greg Little, OT, Ole Miss
This pick has fluctuated between a popular one for New England and one that its fans reject for various reasons, but it’s a sensible selection. The Patriots need pass catchers and they need to reload at tight end after Rob Gronkowski retired.
Other potential scenarios: trade up for an Iowa TE; Jeffery Simmons, DL, Mississippi State; Jaylon Ferguson, EDGE, Louisiana Tech
The Inaugural 580 Sports Talk NFL Draft Composite Big Board
Whether it’s Rosen or Murray who Arizona starts at quarterback, they’ll need a ton of help in front of them on the line. Risner can plug in anywhere and start right away.
Simmons has prior off-field concerns and is coming off of a torn ACL, but he’s a great talent who would be great value in the second round.
Oakland should seriously consider double dipping at EDGE within its first four picks, that’s how bad its pass rush was in 2018. Ferguson could be taken anywhere from the late first to the third round, but the Raiders could use his skills immediately.
There have been questions about Butler’s consistency, but his good is excellent and his physical traits are freakish. He’d be Jacksonville’s No. 1 receiver Week 1.
Buffalo fills a need, but this could be considered a reach after Polite’s brutal combine performance and subsequent tumble down draft boards.
In three years at Clemson, Mullen didn’t allow a single touchdown reception. He’s got first-round potential.
Per Ian Rapoport, test’s on Brown’s injured foot were “excellent” at the combine re-checks, which could bump him back into the first round. Green Bay would be over the moon to get an explosive athlete like “Hollywood” at this point in the draft. It wouldn’t be a shock to see the Packers try to get him at No. 30 if he was available.
The Redskins absolutely have to get a receiver in the first two rounds, and Deebo is an electric option in the middle of the second.
Tennessee, please do something to try to keep Marcus Mariota more healthy.
Arcega-Whiteside certainly isn’t Antonio Brown in terms of skills, but he’d offer another nice, young piece to a youthful receiving corps. He should be a quality red zone weapon who has good speed for his size.
Jacobs is the (near) consensus top running back in this year’s draft and theoretically could go in the first round (possibly to Philadelphia, even). But the value should bump him further down.
Houston is set offensively at quarterback and at the skill positions, so it would be served well by rebuilding its offensive line in this draft.
Adding Amari Cooper was a huge boon for the Cowboys’ offense last year. Adding a second competent receiver is the next step.
Ximines is something of a project (though not nearly as big of one as Tanoh Kpassagnon was two years ago), but his tape and measurables make him look like a legitimate stud in the making. He would have a chance to be the best pass rusher in the Chiefs’ rotation of role players on the edge.
Kansas City would have receivers with 4.2, 4.3 and 4.4 speed should they draft Campbell. Who could possibly cover that?
Another safety who could step in and play some corner, Gardner-Johnson would be great value this late in the process.
Johnathan Abram, S, Mississippi State (40)
Daniel Jones, QB, Duke (50)
Juan Thornhill, S, Virginia (53)
David Montgomery, RB, Iowa State (60)